All outlets

OUT_06038

Pharmacy · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
240.4 L
Recent monthly avg
116.6 L
Own Q90
242.5 L
Active months
25 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
13
HHI (1.5 km)
1,271
Replenishment friction
24.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +47.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~47.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +29.4
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +16.8
  • Province_Western
    +6.4
  • monthly_volume_std
    +3.4
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +3.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -55.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.8
  • Cooler_Count
    -8.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 238.6 L → after 238.6 L
Remove competitive drag+0.6 L / mo
base 238.6 L → after 239.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 299

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.