All outlets

OUT_06012

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
637.9 L
Recent monthly avg
435.6 L
Own Q90
605.9 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
2,970
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +132.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~132.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +296.5
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +74.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +65.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +38.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +24.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -114.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.0
  • mass_share
    -4.5
  • mid_share
    -3.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 660.8 L → after 660.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 660.8 L → after 660.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 621

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.