All outlets

OUT_06007

Hotel · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
637.9 L
Recent monthly avg
19.4 L
Own Q90
66.9 L
Active months
19 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
23
HHI (1.5 km)
869
Replenishment friction
21.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +124.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~124.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +21.4 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.8% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.5%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~21.4 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +316.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +88.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +64.3
  • super_premium_share
    +6.5
  • avg_price_per_liter
    +4.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -51.2
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -51.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -22.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    -15.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -13.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 624.0 L → after 624.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 624.0 L → after 624.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 4,841

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.