All outlets

OUT_05986

SMMT · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
81.2 L
Recent monthly avg
37.3 L
Own Q90
80.8 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
13
HHI (1.5 km)
2,445
Replenishment friction
15.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +18.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~18.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.1
  • super_premium_share
    +2.7
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.0
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +1.4
  • mass_share
    +0.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 92.3 L → after 92.3 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 92.3 L → after 92.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 38

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.