All outlets

OUT_05984

Grocery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
683.0 L
Recent monthly avg
351.8 L
Own Q90
656.1 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
25
HHI (1.5 km)
1,016
Replenishment friction
23.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +139.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~139.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.7 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 19.1 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.7 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +153.1
  • Cooler_Count
    +148.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +61.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +50.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +47.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -112.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -20.9
  • mass_share
    -6.7
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -4.6
  • mid_share
    -3.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 695.5 L → after 695.5 L
Remove competitive drag+1.7 L / mo
base 695.5 L → after 697.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,492

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.