All outlets

OUT_05946

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
79.0 L
Recent monthly avg
29.8 L
Own Q90
83.8 L
Active months
23 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
1,170
Replenishment friction
26.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +17.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +3.6 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +3.6 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +6.8
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +2.7
  • Latitude
    +2.4
  • mid_share
    +2.4
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -30.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+3.6 L / mo
base 86.2 L → after 89.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 86.2 L → after 86.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 46

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.