All outlets

OUT_05888

Eatery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
76.3 L
Recent monthly avg
12.9 L
Own Q90
33.8 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
1,684
Replenishment friction
27.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +15.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~15.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +10.1
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.0
  • monthly_cv
    +1.7
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +1.6
  • super_premium_share
    +1.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.4
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    -23.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 74.8 L → after 74.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 74.8 L → after 74.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 83

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.