All outlets

OUT_05846

Hotel · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
795.0 L
Recent monthly avg
504.6 L
Own Q90
829.9 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
925
Replenishment friction
16.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +158.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~158.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +196.0
  • Cooler_Count
    +138.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +71.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +69.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +51.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -117.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.3
  • Province_Southern
    -3.1
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    -2.3
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    -0.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 790.0 L → after 790.0 L
Remove competitive drag-1.1 L / mo
base 790.0 L → after 789.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,131

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.