All outlets

OUT_05809

Pharmacy · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
252.4 L
Recent monthly avg
91.2 L
Own Q90
203.6 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
768
Replenishment friction
22.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +314.5 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +314.5 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +47.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~47.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  3. Rank 3 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +1.0 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 11.2 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 1.0 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +29.3
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +15.3
  • Province_Western
    +6.4
  • mid_share
    +4.0
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +3.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -59.2
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -9.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+314.5 L / mo
base 238.6 L → after 553.1 L
Remove competitive drag+2.6 L / mo
base 238.6 L → after 241.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 333

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
314.5 L
Monthly margin
LKR 8,591
Payback
5.8 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 133,608

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.