All outlets

OUT_05807

Eatery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
668.7 L
Recent monthly avg
20.0 L
Own Q90
74.9 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
845
Replenishment friction
11.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 5th cooler to outlet

    +370.9 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +370.9 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +134.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~134.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +320.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +93.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +65.1
  • mass_share
    +14.6
  • mid_share
    +7.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -52.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    -49.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -21.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    -15.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    -12.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+370.9 L / mo
base 673.3 L → after 1,044.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 673.3 L → after 673.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
370.9 L
Monthly margin
LKR 11,855
Payback
4.2 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 203,375

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.