All outlets

OUT_05776

SMMT · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,704.9 L
Recent monthly avg
1,245.0 L
Own Q90
1,874.8 L
Active months
35 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
20
HHI (1.5 km)
1,240
Replenishment friction
2.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +348.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~348.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +1.5 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 22.6 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 1.5 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +674.9
  • Cooler_Count
    +312.8
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +245.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +100.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +94.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -33.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -29.2
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    -5.2
  • same_type_competitors_1km
    -4.1
  • Province_Southern
    -4.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,740.6 L → after 1,740.6 L
Remove competitive drag+3.8 L / mo
base 1,740.6 L → after 1,744.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 2,648

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.