All outlets

OUT_05747

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
83.5 L
Recent monthly avg
18.7 L
Own Q90
58.0 L
Active months
20 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
2,026
Replenishment friction
25.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +23.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~23.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +3.7 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 9.4% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~3.7 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.5
  • spatial_demand_score
    +3.6
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.5
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.2
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +1.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 116.5 L → after 116.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 116.5 L → after 116.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 92

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.