All outlets

OUT_05680

Kiosk · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
607.9 L
Recent monthly avg
13.6 L
Own Q90
36.3 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
1,105
Replenishment friction
22.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +118.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~118.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +297.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +82.8
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +57.4
  • Province_Western
    +6.8
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +5.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -52.9
  • monthly_volume_mean
    -51.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    -15.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -14.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 590.5 L → after 590.5 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 590.5 L → after 590.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 4,552

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.