OUT_05663
Bakery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03
Predicted potential
January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.
Geographical Location
Store location on the map.
Recommended actions
Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.
- Rank 1 · festival_promo+21.6 L / mo
Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak
Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~21.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.
- Rank 2 · sku_mix+4.3 L / mo
Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)
Outlet currently sells 7.6% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.1%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~4.2 L/month.
- Rank 3 · cooler+1.4 L / mo
Place first cooler at outlet
Counterfactual model predicts +1.4 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.
Top reasons the score is high
Largest positive SHAP contributors.
- Province_Western+11.7
- Outlet_Type_SMMT+2.8
- Outlet_Type_Hotel+2.0
- Latitude+1.7
- Longitude+1.6
Top reasons the score is held back
Largest negative SHAP contributors.
- monthly_volume_mean-61.3
- Outlet_Size_Extra Large-29.4
- Outlet_Size_Small-24.4
- Outlet_Size_Large-22.1
- monthly_volume_q95-21.7
What-if scenarios
Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.
AI explanation
A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.
Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.