All outlets

OUT_05492

Pharmacy · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
235.9 L
Recent monthly avg
86.1 L
Own Q90
213.6 L
Active months
25 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
766
Replenishment friction
16.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +304.9 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +304.9 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +43.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~43.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +25.4
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +12.8
  • Province_Western
    +7.2
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +5.6
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +5.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -59.7
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -20.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -18.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+304.9 L / mo
base 218.7 L → after 523.6 L
Remove competitive drag-0.7 L / mo
base 218.7 L → after 218.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 293

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
304.9 L
Monthly margin
LKR 10,288
Payback
4.9 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 169,896

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.