All outlets

OUT_05427

Grocery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
765.6 L
Recent monthly avg
400.3 L
Own Q90
662.7 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
627
Replenishment friction
24.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +144.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~144.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +259.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    +72.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +68.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +50.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +50.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -111.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -20.8
  • mass_share
    -4.1
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.4
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 724.3 L → after 724.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 724.3 L → after 724.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,759

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.