All outlets

OUT_05425

Hotel · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
629.6 L
Recent monthly avg
20.5 L
Own Q90
76.3 L
Active months
19 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
925
Replenishment friction
21.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 5th cooler to outlet

    +332.9 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +332.9 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +124.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~124.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +313.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +87.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +62.4
  • Province_Western
    +4.6
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +4.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -53.0
  • monthly_volume_mean
    -50.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    -14.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -13.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+332.9 L / mo
base 623.2 L → after 956.1 L
Remove competitive drag-0.4 L / mo
base 623.2 L → after 622.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 4,822

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
332.9 L
Monthly margin
LKR 10,421
Payback
4.8 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 172,727

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.