All outlets

OUT_05423

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
225.3 L
Recent monthly avg
20.6 L
Own Q90
73.5 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
581
Replenishment friction
16.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +32.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~32.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.5
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +10.2
  • competitors_2km
    +9.1
  • hhi_1500m
    +8.4
  • spatial_demand_score
    +4.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -58.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.4
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -20.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 161.9 L → after 161.9 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 161.9 L → after 161.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,256

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.