All outlets

OUT_05331

SMMT · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,377.3 L
Recent monthly avg
19.8 L
Own Q90
69.2 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
809
Replenishment friction
31.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +278.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~278.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +749.7
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +463.8
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +25.9
  • Latitude
    +22.7
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +10.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -54.0
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -33.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -22.3
  • mass_share
    -20.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    -17.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,390.7 L → after 1,390.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,390.7 L → after 1,390.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.