All outlets

OUT_05323

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
227.9 L
Recent monthly avg
16.7 L
Own Q90
75.7 L
Active months
14 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
760
Replenishment friction
28.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +31.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~31.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +5.9 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.3% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~5.9 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +10.7
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +7.5
  • mid_share
    +6.0
  • competitors_2km
    +4.6
  • Latitude
    +4.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 156.8 L → after 156.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 156.8 L → after 156.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,364

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.