All outlets

OUT_05309

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
75.5 L
Recent monthly avg
18.4 L
Own Q90
64.0 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
950
Replenishment friction
27.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.4
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.8
  • Latitude
    +1.6
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.1
  • climate_jan_temp_c
    +0.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -25.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 73.1 L → after 73.1 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 73.1 L → after 73.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 91

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.