All outlets

OUT_05231

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
711.3 L
Recent monthly avg
380.5 L
Own Q90
646.2 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
6
HHI (1.5 km)
1,695
Replenishment friction
14.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +138.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~138.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +1.2 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +1.2 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +257.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +71.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    +67.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +51.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +27.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -107.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -18.5
  • Province_Southern
    -3.1
  • mid_share
    -2.3
  • super_premium_share
    -2.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+1.2 L / mo
base 691.7 L → after 692.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 691.7 L → after 691.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,694

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.