All outlets

OUT_05140

Hotel · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
558.5 L
Recent monthly avg
10.5 L
Own Q90
32.8 L
Active months
13 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,601
Replenishment friction
30.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 5th cooler to outlet

    +354.9 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +354.9 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +111.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~111.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +299.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +84.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +62.5
  • Province_Western
    +3.8
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +3.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -53.2
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -52.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    -16.3
  • mass_share
    -14.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+354.9 L / mo
base 555.6 L → after 910.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 555.6 L → after 555.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 4,292

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
354.9 L
Monthly margin
LKR 14,947
Payback
3.3 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 269,464

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.