All outlets

OUT_05079

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
793.3 L
Recent monthly avg
457.0 L
Own Q90
769.3 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
21
HHI (1.5 km)
1,178
Replenishment friction
9.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +158.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~158.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.4 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 17.4 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.4 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +194.4
  • Cooler_Count
    +138.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +70.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +65.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +52.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -120.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -20.6
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2
  • Latitude
    -1.5
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    -0.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 790.8 L → after 790.8 L
Remove competitive drag+1.0 L / mo
base 790.8 L → after 791.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,360

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.