All outlets

OUT_04973

Eatery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
680.7 L
Recent monthly avg
458.8 L
Own Q90
698.6 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
1,665
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +141.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~141.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +285.7
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +80.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +63.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +45.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +36.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -23.9
  • mass_share
    -5.1
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -4.8
  • mid_share
    -3.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 708.4 L → after 708.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 708.4 L → after 708.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 661

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.