All outlets

OUT_04705

Grocery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
82.1 L
Recent monthly avg
17.5 L
Own Q90
54.1 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,222
Replenishment friction
17.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +28.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~28.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +17.9
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    +9.2
  • spatial_demand_score
    +7.6
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +2.9
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -19.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 140.6 L → after 140.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 140.6 L → after 140.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 129

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.