All outlets

OUT_04666

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
678.6 L
Recent monthly avg
23.6 L
Own Q90
76.9 L
Active months
21 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
984
Replenishment friction
23.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +136.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~136.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +321.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +93.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +63.3
  • mass_share
    +13.7
  • super_premium_share
    +7.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -50.2
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -49.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -20.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    -14.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    -13.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 682.4 L → after 682.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 682.4 L → after 682.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.