All outlets

OUT_04652

SMMT · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
68.1 L
Recent monthly avg
9.3 L
Own Q90
39.9 L
Active months
11 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,708
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +0.4 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.4 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +6.4
  • monthly_cv
    +1.4
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +1.1
  • Outlet_Type_Eatery
    +0.8
  • climate_jan_temp_c
    +0.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.4 L / mo
base 69.8 L → after 70.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 69.8 L → after 69.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 110

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.