All outlets

OUT_04597

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
83.0 L
Recent monthly avg
14.2 L
Own Q90
50.7 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
2,429
Replenishment friction
18.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +22.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~22.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +13.7
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +3.0
  • super_premium_share
    +2.6
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.5
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.6
  • monthly_volume_std
    -22.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 112.6 L → after 112.6 L
Remove competitive drag+0.9 L / mo
base 112.6 L → after 113.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 147

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.