All outlets

OUT_04559

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
219.3 L
Recent monthly avg
16.6 L
Own Q90
50.7 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
23
HHI (1.5 km)
583
Replenishment friction
23.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +30.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~30.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.9
  • competitors_1km
    +7.3
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +6.9
  • spatial_demand_score
    +4.8
  • hhi_1500m
    +4.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -20.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 151.9 L → after 151.9 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 151.9 L → after 151.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,088

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.