All outlets

OUT_04499

SMMT · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
73.5 L
Recent monthly avg
23.1 L
Own Q90
77.5 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
1,176
Replenishment friction
33.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +5.0
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +2.3
  • competitors_2km
    +1.0
  • avg_price_per_liter
    +1.0
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +1.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -25.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 73.3 L → after 73.3 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 73.3 L → after 73.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 49

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.