All outlets

OUT_04445

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
75.3 L
Recent monthly avg
8.9 L
Own Q90
28.5 L
Active months
14 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
22
HHI (1.5 km)
1,038
Replenishment friction
42.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +15.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~15.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +0.6 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.6 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +10.0
  • competitors_1km
    +3.7
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +2.9
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.1
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +1.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.6 L / mo
base 77.3 L → after 77.9 L
Remove competitive drag+0.3 L / mo
base 77.3 L → after 77.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 122

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.