All outlets

OUT_04269

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
772.6 L
Recent monthly avg
440.5 L
Own Q90
670.0 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
20
HHI (1.5 km)
890
Replenishment friction
0.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +151.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~151.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +189.7
  • Cooler_Count
    +138.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +68.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +54.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    +50.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.9
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2
  • jan_mean
    -1.0
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -0.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 758.5 L → after 758.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 758.5 L → after 758.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,373

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.