All outlets

OUT_04252

Grocery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,363.9 L
Recent monthly avg
15.4 L
Own Q90
45.3 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
22
HHI (1.5 km)
571
Replenishment friction
27.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +273.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~273.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +729.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +461.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +27.2
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +11.2
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +7.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -55.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -31.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -21.9
  • mass_share
    -21.1
  • monthly_volume_median
    -18.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,369.4 L → after 1,369.4 L
Remove competitive drag+0.4 L / mo
base 1,369.4 L → after 1,369.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.