All outlets

OUT_04237

Bakery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,821.9 L
Recent monthly avg
1,320.1 L
Own Q90
1,827.8 L
Active months
36 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
1,271
Replenishment friction
0.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +358.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~358.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +643.3
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +446.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +136.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +133.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    +111.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -29.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -28.6
  • Province_Southern
    -4.1
  • zero_months_count
    -3.5
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -2.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,794.0 L → after 1,794.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,794.0 L → after 1,794.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 3,326

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.