All outlets

OUT_04188

Eatery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
71.6 L
Recent monthly avg
10.7 L
Own Q90
33.2 L
Active months
11 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
26
HHI (1.5 km)
602
Replenishment friction
27.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +3.2 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 6.6% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.0%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~3.2 L/month.

  3. Rank 3 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.4 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 27.8 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.4 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +10.3
  • competitors_2km
    +3.5
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.1
  • monthly_cv
    +2.0
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +1.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -63.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 72.6 L → after 72.6 L
Remove competitive drag+1.1 L / mo
base 72.6 L → after 73.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 61

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.