All outlets

OUT_04156

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
73.5 L
Recent monthly avg
12.4 L
Own Q90
30.7 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
1,315
Replenishment friction
22.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +20.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~20.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.7 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 13.8 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.7 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.7
  • spatial_demand_score
    +4.6
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +3.5
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.8
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    -21.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 103.1 L → after 103.1 L
Remove competitive drag+1.9 L / mo
base 103.1 L → after 105.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 104

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.