All outlets

OUT_04131

Grocery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
746.2 L
Recent monthly avg
370.3 L
Own Q90
688.8 L
Active months
25 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
13
HHI (1.5 km)
1,202
Replenishment friction
28.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +149.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~149.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +187.7
  • Cooler_Count
    +139.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +70.6
  • monthly_volume_std
    +52.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +41.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -120.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.1
  • Province_Southern
    -3.3
  • super_premium_share
    -2.0
  • Latitude
    -1.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 748.2 L → after 748.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 748.2 L → after 748.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 2,282

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.