All outlets

OUT_04014

Grocery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
73.7 L
Recent monthly avg
15.8 L
Own Q90
46.7 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
22
HHI (1.5 km)
737
Replenishment friction
16.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +22.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~22.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +14.9
  • competitors_1km
    +4.4
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    +4.3
  • spatial_demand_score
    +3.7
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.6
  • monthly_volume_std
    -21.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 112.5 L → after 112.5 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 112.5 L → after 112.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 89

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.