All outlets

OUT_03970

SMMT · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
70.3 L
Recent monthly avg
13.6 L
Own Q90
33.4 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
24
HHI (1.5 km)
933
Replenishment friction
31.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +15.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~15.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.4
  • competitors_1km
    +5.3
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +3.5
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.7
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +1.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.7
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 79.1 L → after 79.1 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 79.1 L → after 79.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 53

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.