All outlets

OUT_03941

Kiosk · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
593.8 L
Recent monthly avg
23.0 L
Own Q90
76.4 L
Active months
20 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
1,244
Replenishment friction
25.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 5th cooler to outlet

    +345.4 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +345.4 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +122.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~122.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +309.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +84.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +60.4
  • Province_Western
    +5.4
  • mid_share
    +3.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -50.6
  • monthly_volume_mean
    -50.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -20.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -13.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    -13.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+345.4 L / mo
base 611.7 L → after 957.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 611.7 L → after 611.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 4,437

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
345.4 L
Monthly margin
LKR 12,040
Payback
4.2 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 207,337

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.