All outlets

OUT_03935

SMMT · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
233.6 L
Recent monthly avg
88.3 L
Own Q90
244.4 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
608
Replenishment friction
36.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +44.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~44.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +32.4
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +18.9
  • Province_Western
    +4.6
  • monthly_volume_std
    +3.8
  • mass_share
    +2.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -55.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -10.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 223.9 L → after 223.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 223.9 L → after 223.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 392

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.