All outlets

OUT_03911

Bakery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,778.6 L
Recent monthly avg
1,254.3 L
Own Q90
1,903.9 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
10
HHI (1.5 km)
1,612
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +356.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~356.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +673.9
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +351.8
  • Cooler_Count
    +165.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +103.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    +96.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -33.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -27.5
  • Province_Southern
    -4.2
  • same_type_competitors_500m
    -3.7
  • type_weighted_pressure
    -2.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,781.3 L → after 1,781.3 L
Remove competitive drag-3.0 L / mo
base 1,781.3 L → after 1,778.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 4,061

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.