All outlets

OUT_03842

Eatery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
243.7 L
Recent monthly avg
77.9 L
Own Q90
197.1 L
Active months
21 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
1,000
Replenishment friction
28.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +44.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~44.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +8.5 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 9.1% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 15.5%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~8.5 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +29.9
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +14.9
  • Province_Western
    +6.8
  • mid_share
    +3.5
  • mass_share
    +3.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -56.7
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -18.7
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 221.1 L → after 221.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 221.1 L → after 221.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 520

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.