All outlets

OUT_03736

SMMT · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
215.3 L
Recent monthly avg
94.2 L
Own Q90
216.4 L
Active months
25 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
22
HHI (1.5 km)
1,047
Replenishment friction
20.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +41.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~41.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +30.1
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +17.6
  • Province_Western
    +4.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    +3.0
  • competitors_1km
    +1.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -55.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -14.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 205.9 L → after 205.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 205.9 L → after 205.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 254

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.