All outlets

OUT_03688

Grocery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
70.7 L
Recent monthly avg
14.0 L
Own Q90
45.6 L
Active months
13 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
1,237
Replenishment friction
38.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +17.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +3.1 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.2% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.0%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~3.1 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +13.6
  • Latitude
    +4.0
  • super_premium_share
    +2.8
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.7
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    -22.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 87.7 L → after 87.7 L
Remove competitive drag+0.3 L / mo
base 87.7 L → after 88.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 93

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.