OUT_03671
Bakery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02
Predicted potential
January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.
Geographical Location
Store location on the map.
Recommended actions
Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.
- Rank 1 · festival_promo+42.9 L / mo
Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak
Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~42.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.
- Rank 2 · sku_mix+7.4 L / mo
Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)
Outlet currently sells 9.4% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 15.2%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~7.4 L/month.
Top reasons the score is high
Largest positive SHAP contributors.
- Outlet_Size_Small+27.0
- Outlet_Size_Medium+15.6
- Province_Western+6.2
- competitors_2km+1.8
- Outlet_Type_SMMT+1.1
Top reasons the score is held back
Largest negative SHAP contributors.
- monthly_volume_mean-55.5
- Outlet_Size_Extra Large-28.5
- Outlet_Size_Large-21.4
- monthly_volume_median-15.9
- monthly_volume_q95-12.1
What-if scenarios
Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.
AI explanation
A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.
Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.