All outlets

OUT_03670

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
74.8 L
Recent monthly avg
21.3 L
Own Q90
72.8 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
9
HHI (1.5 km)
889
Replenishment friction
16.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +16.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~16.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +6.5
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.7
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.4
  • Latitude
    +1.2
  • climate_jan_temp_c
    +0.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 80.5 L → after 80.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 80.5 L → after 80.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 95

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.