All outlets

OUT_03662

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
228.7 L
Recent monthly avg
10.2 L
Own Q90
40.9 L
Active months
11 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
931
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +37.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~37.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • mid_share
    +16.7
  • jan_mean
    +13.7
  • Province_Western
    +13.1
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +7.2
  • Latitude
    +4.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -59.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -22.4
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 187.4 L → after 187.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 187.4 L → after 187.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,455

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.