All outlets

OUT_03644

Pharmacy · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
718.2 L
Recent monthly avg
419.5 L
Own Q90
691.2 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
24
HHI (1.5 km)
1,192
Replenishment friction
9.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +146.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~146.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.5 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 11.0 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.5 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +282.9
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +85.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +63.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +60.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    +37.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.6
  • mass_share
    -6.3
  • mid_share
    -4.4
  • Province_Southern
    -3.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 730.3 L → after 730.3 L
Remove competitive drag+1.2 L / mo
base 730.3 L → after 731.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,057

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.